@article {256, title = {Impacts of different climate stabilisation scenarios on plant species in Europe}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, volume = {16}, year = {2006}, abstract = {

With the use of goals from the Convention on Biological Diversity we evaluated two climate stabilisation profiles on their merits for conservation of biodiversity, comparing them with a baseline profile. Focusing on plant ecosystems at the pan-European level, we concluded that although a maximum global-mean temperature increase of 2 1C is likely to be met in a 550 ppmv CO2-equivalent stabilisation profile, large areas of ecosystems in Europe will be affected. Most of the impacts manifest themselves in northern countries, with a high net increase of plant species, and in Mediterranean countries, with a decrease in the number of plant species and stable area. Other impacts are less robust, given the regional variation in climate results for different climate models.

}, keywords = {analyse de sc{\'e}nario, biodiversit{\'e}, biodiversity, biological diversity, changement climatique, climate, climate change, climate model, conservation, convention, diversity, ecosystem, Europe, impact, mod{\`e}le climatique, mod{\'e}lisation, modelling, profil de stabilisation, scenario analysis, stabilisation profiles, temperature}, author = {Bakkenes and Eickhout and Alkemade} }