<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">C.D. Thomas</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A. Cameron</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">R.E. Green</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">M. Bakkenes</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">L.J. Beaumont</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Y.C. Collingham</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">B.F.N. Erasmus</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">M. Ferreira di Sequeira</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A. Grainger</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">L. Hannah</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">L. Hughes</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">B. Huntley</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A.S. van Jaarsveld</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">G.F. Midgley</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">L. Miles</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">M.A. Ortega-Huerta</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A.T. Peterson</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">O.L. Phillips</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">S.E. Williams</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Extinction risk from climate change</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Nature</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">abundance</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">bird</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">butterfly</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">carbon sequestration</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">climate</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">climate change</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">distribution</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">extinction risk</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">frog</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">mammal</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">plant</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">reptile</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">risk</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">terrestrial fauna</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">terrestrial vegetation</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2004</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">427</style></volume><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;Climate change over the past ,30 years has produced numerous shifts in  the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in  one species-level extinction. Using projections of species'  distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks  for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial  surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability  of extinction shows a powerlaw relationship with geographical range  size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios  for 2050, that 15-37% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will  be 'committed to extinction'.When the average of the three methods and  two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios  produce lower projections of species committed to extinction (,18%) than  mid-range (,24%) and maximum change (,35%) scenarios. These estimates  show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease  greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.&lt;/p&gt;</style></abstract><custom3><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;145&lt;/p&gt;</style></custom3><custom4><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;148&lt;/p&gt;</style></custom4></record></records></xml>