@article {488,
	title = {Extinction risk from climate change},
	journal = {Nature},
	volume = {427},
	year = {2004},
	abstract = {<p>Climate change over the past ,30 years has produced numerous shifts in  the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in  one species-level extinction. Using projections of species{\textquoteright}  distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks  for sample regions that cover some 20\% of the Earth{\textquoteright}s terrestrial  surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability  of extinction shows a powerlaw relationship with geographical range  size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios  for 2050, that 15-37\% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will  be {\textquoteright}committed to extinction{\textquoteright}.When the average of the three methods and  two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios  produce lower projections of species committed to extinction (,18\%) than  mid-range (,24\%) and maximum change (,35\%) scenarios. These estimates  show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease  greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.</p>},
	keywords = {abundance, bird, butterfly, carbon sequestration, climate, climate change, distribution, extinction risk, frog, mammal, plant, reptile, risk, terrestrial fauna, terrestrial vegetation},
	author = {C.D. Thomas and A. Cameron and R.E. Green and M. Bakkenes and L.J. Beaumont and Y.C. Collingham and B.F.N. Erasmus and M. Ferreira di Sequeira and A. Grainger and L. Hannah and L. Hughes and B. Huntley and A.S. van Jaarsveld and G.F. Midgley and L. Miles and M.A. Ortega-Huerta and A.T. Peterson and O.L. Phillips and S.E. Williams}
}
