@article {399,
	title = {Modelling of Mediterranean system-changes under climate variations and human impact},
	journal = {Environmental Modelling \& Software},
	volume = {13},
	year = {1998},
	abstract = {<p>The one-and-a-half dimension multilayer Lagrangian model LATOX was  developed to model the environmental pollution of deep stratified lakes  and semi-enclosed seas. This model is used to simulate changes in the  system of the Mediterranean seas, forced by the changes of climate and  anthropogenic factors. It incorporates the submodels of the Black Sea,  Azov Sea, Marmara Sea and the western and eastern Mediterranean. Simple  submodels of the Kerch, Bosphorus, Dardanelles, Sicily and Gibraltar  straits are applied. Three case studies were carried out: (i) the  reconstruction and prediction of the 137Cs contamination from testing of  nuclear weapons and the Chernobyl accident, (ii) the prediction of  possible changes in the Azov and Black seas under increased freshwater  consumption and (iii) the evolution of the Black and Azov seas to their  recent state over the last 7000 years. The reconstruction of the 137Cs  was quite good, and the model predicted a return to pre-Chernobyl level  by 2010, in the absence of future accidents. An increase of freshwater  consumption in the Black Sea basin catchments to 100 km3/year can cause  significant changes to the Black and Azov seas.</p>},
	keywords = {Azov Sea, Black sea, changement climatique, climate, climate change, eastern Mediterranean, human impact, impact, Marmara Sea, Mediterranean sea, Mer d{\textquoteright}Azov, Mer M{\'e}diterran{\'e}e, Mer Noire, mod{\'e}lisation, modelling, pollution, radioactivit{\'e}, radioactivity},
	author = {V.S. Maderich}
}
